Saturday, October 15, 2016

Strategy bets: Factor "new coach"!

With this strategy soccer betting check how true the following unwritten rule:
треньор
Team always wins in the debut of new coach, regardless of the opponent and shape!

Upcoming matches with a first Coach:

Date   Match Date            Bet Odds
14.10  Cardiff - Bristol     home win 2.87
15.10  Arsenal - Swansea     away win 11.00
15.10  Derby - Leeds         home win 1.83
15.10  Aston Villa - Wolves  home win 2.00
15.10  Atletico - Granada    away win 17.00
15.10  Al-Sailiya - Al-Rayyanaway win 1.67
15.10  Juventus - Udinese    away win 13.00
16.10  Pelister - Win        home win -
16.10  Gijon - Valencia      away win 2.10
16.10  Dunav - Montana *     away win 4.50

But see if the above rule really is and can such information be a good basis for a successful football betting
strategy.

It is clear that "always" is a bit exaggerated, but the strategy will be successful if you maintain balance positive.

We report net profit by 10 units bet per game.

Results for the season 2016/2017:

Forecasts Hits Missed Success Rate Odds Net Profit
34 15 19 44% 3.97 21.70

Results for the season 2015/2016:

    Prediction: 60
    Correct: 32
    Success rate: 53%
    Net profit: 47.70 units

* Net profit is obtained by subtracting the profits stake.

 Conclusions of season 2015/2016

We launched this strategy in November 2015. After the end of the season can highlight the following conclusions:

    Household does not give an advantage in the debut of new coach! On the contrary. The balance of only home games is -20.20 units. A visiting: 67.90 units of net profit.

    No need securing a draw at big odds! The report of the 2015/16 season shows that the only thing that makes the double chance is to eat fat ratios. In most such cases, the team coach with a first or wins or loses. And we came to the following conclusion: In ensuring the success rate would be lower rates, but net profit would have been more units. And in bets most important indicator is profit!

    This strategy works even under a temporary coach! At the end of the season we started to celebrate and what coaches are appointed temporarily, until a permanent one. We have such observations of 7 games, 4 of which are profitable at a total net profit 16.50 units!

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