Thursday, October 13, 2016

Strategy based on factor "new coach"!

With this strategy soccer betting check how true the following unwritten rule:
треньорTeam always wins in the debut of new coach, regardless of the opponent and shape!
Upcoming matches with a new coaches:


 
 Match Date Bet Odds.14.10.16 Cardiff - Bristol 1 2.8015.10.16 Arsenal - Swansea 2 12:0015.10.16 * Derby - Leeds 1 1.7515.10.16 Aston Villa * - Wolves 1 1.9015.10.16 Atletico - Granada 2 21:0015.10.16 Al-Sailiya - Al-Rayyan 2 1.67 15.10.16 Juventus - Udinese 2 13:00
But see if the above rule really is and can such information be a good basis for a successful football betting strategy.
It is clear that "always" is a bit exaggerated, but the strategy will be successful if you maintain balance positive.
We report net profit by 10 units bet per game.
Results for the season 2016/2017:
Forecasts  Hits   Missed   Success Rate  Odds  Net Profit34            15     19          44%                3.97    21.70
Results for the season 2015/2016:

    
Prediction: 60
    
Correct: 32
    
Success rate: 53%
    
Net profit: 47.70 units
* Net profit is obtained by subtracting the profits stake.

 
Conclusions of season 2015/2016
We launched this strategy in November 2015. After the end of the season can highlight the following conclusions:

    
Household does not give an advantage in the debut of new coach! On the contrary. The balance of only home games is -20.20 units. A visiting: 67.90 units of net profit.

    
No need securing a draw at big odds! The report of the 2015/16 season shows that the only thing that makes the double chance is to eat fat ratios. In most such cases, the team coach with a first or wins or loses. And we came to the following conclusion: In ensuring the success rate would be lower rates, but net profit would have been more units. And in bets most important indicator is profit!

    
This strategy works even under a temporary coach! At the end of the season we started to celebrate and what coaches are appointed temporarily, until a permanent one. We have such observations of 7 games, 4 of which are profitable at a total net profit 16.50 units!


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