Sunday, June 5, 2016

Mathematicians know who will be the champion of Euro 2016!

Who will win Euro 2016 in France?
францияMathematicians from the University of Innsbruck, Austria created a statistical model that allows to predict the outcome of Euro 2016 with a certain probability.
According to their calculations with the best chance to become winners in the tournament

were France and Germany.

In fact, they are the favorites, and the bookmakers, as the coefficient to host the European Football Championship is 4.00, and for Germany - 5:00
Also, Betfair customers who make a single bet of at least € 25 per market "Champion Euro 2016" will receive € 5 bonus for each victory of their chosen team in the tournament!
To predict the winners, scientists took data on the likely outcome of the matches of 19 bookmakers and used them in a complex statistical model allowing to provide for all possible matches between the teams and earning them.
According to this model France will win first place with a chance to win 21.5%. Followed by Germany with 20.1 percent. Defending champion Team Spain is in third place with 13.7 percent probability of winning.
Spain - France / Germany in the final of Europe!
The model also allows mathematicians to predict which teams will play together.
As France and Germany are favorites in their group, they are likely to meet in the semifinals. The coefficient for the Betfair Roosters to reach the 1/2 finals is 1.75, and for Germany - 1.95.
The winner of the match will play Spain in the final.
And if you think these three teams - France, Germany and La Fourier Rocha - will reach the semi-finals of Euro 2016, then Betfair offered rate for this - 26.00
The probability to play Spain in the final of France 5.7% and Germany 5.4%.
Here are the options offered by Betfair for these cases:

    
To reach the finals: France - 2.50 Germany - 2.87 Spain - 3.25.
    
Nomination of finalists: France / Spain - 12.00, Germany / Spain - 13.00.
The statistical model proved its reliability in forecasting the results of two previous European championships in football and the World Cup.
Mathematicians, however, stress that their model can not predict the results of matches 100%. It only assesses the probability of winning one or another team.

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